Daily Report

17 de Novembro de 2025
Financial Markets | daily report 17.11.2025

Risk-off session to end the week, as concerns about high valuations in the technology sector and doubts on whether the Federal Reserve will lower rates in December, weighed on investor sentiment. Stocks sold off in the euro area and ended flat in the US, albeit having started the session with losses.

Sovereign yields rose on both sides of the Atlantic. The market-implied probability of a Fed interest rate cut in December has fallen from 70% in early November to 40%. Remarks from Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmidt suggested he would again oppose a cut in the next meeting as inflation is still running too hot.

On the macro front, euro area GDP grew 0.2% in Q3, in line with the first estimate released last month. In China, factory output and retail sales grew at their lowest rate in over a year (4.9% yoy and 2.9% yoy, respectively). Over the weekend, President Trump announced certain agricultural products would be exempt from reciprocal tariffs.