Flash Notes

18 de Maio de 2023
Monthly Report | Economic and Financial Market Outlook | May 2023

Robust first quarter, but hardly repeatable

The Portuguese economy recorded a quarter of sharp growth, making it the third-fastest growing economy
among European Union countries. If quarterly growth were to be zero by the end of the year (which is unlikely,
given the signs of growth), the economy would still grow by more than 2% in 2023 (our current forecast is 1%), a
remarkable expansion in a such a challenging context. As such, it is likely that we will soon be revising our
projections upwards. In turn, inflation has decreased significantly, despite the resistance of its more stable
components, and employment has continued to register gains in a context of an increase in the participation rate.