Flash Notes

22 de Junho de 2026
Monthly Report | Economic and Financial Market Outlook | June 2026

Robustness with some warning signs: our scenario has changed


The Portuguese macroeconomic scenario has been revised mainly due to the sharp increase in energy prices driven by the conflict in the Middle East. Despite this, the impact on growth is limited, and an expansion of 1.8% is now expected in 2026 and 2027, above the Eurozone average, while inflation should remain close to 3% by the end of this year. The economy maintains signs of resilience, with a solid labor market and relatively controlled public finances.